Saturday 25 October 2014

Week of 2014 OC 17

(Yup, another post that’s a whole week late — so at least I already know that next week will be better.)

IWM rose by 2.3% this week, while my account fell 0.2% to its lowest value ever.  The loss-floor has fallen to -13.4%, tying its lowest value ever back in June.

This week the market bounced as expected, but the bounce was larger than expected and so the crash predicted for Halloween might be delayed into November.

End of week allocations:

78% equities, 62% cash USD
% gain
size
Max loss
Sym Buy Fri Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Beg End
SRTY ¹  OC13 -0.4 11 -0.4 11 -0.4 11 -0.4 0 -0.7 -0.7
SRTY ² OC14 -0.4 11 -0.4 11 -0.4 11 -0.4 0 -0.3 -0.3
URTY OC14 -0.3 14 +0.1 15 +0.6 15 +0.5 15 -1.0 -1.2
TNA OC16 +0.2 11 +0.1 11 -1.1 -1.1
IWM   -9.0   -9.4   -8.3   -7.4   -6.4   -6.7
me -10.4 -10.8 -11.5 -11.0 -10.4 -10.6
floor -10.4 -10.8 -13.0 -13.2 -13.8 -13.4

Stock-trading robot

Ticker
Symbol
Buy dateBuy priceSell dateSell priceAcct Profit
ModelActualMAModelActual M A M A
SRTY ¹ OC 13 10:00 $48.64 $48.65 OC 13 13:00 $46.99 $46.90 -0.36% -0.40%
SRTY ² OC 14 10:00 $48.07 $48.14 OC 14 11:00 10:53 $46.64 $46.62 -0.33% -0.35%
URTY OC 14 13:00 $66.15 $66.17 (Not yet)
TNA OC 16 11:00 $59.41 $59.21 (Not yet)

SRTY: Disappointing, as usual.  The market just had a major swoon while I made nothing.  This algorithm needs replacement.

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