Friday, 26 September 2014

Week of 2014 SE 19

(Yes, I know this post is a week late.)

IWM fell by 1.2% this week, while my account fell 1.9%.  The loss-floor has risen to -10.0%.

Market news: The market was not happy with the FOMC meeting, which announced a continuation of the tapering of Quantitive Easing (= money-printing to finance the US deficit).  If the market does crash in October this year, pundits will probably say that it began with today’s big drop; a trendline dating back to the March 2009 bottom has been broken.

Political news: Scotland voted “No” on secession.  Of course there are some complaints about vote-rigging, but it looks like the issue is settled “for a generation“.  The Scottish prime minister has said he will resign after this loss.  Oh, and war continues in Ukraine and Greater Syria.

Health news: A volcanic eruption continues in Iceland, causing minor local coughing from the pollution, but European air-travel is unaffected so nobody else cares.  Also, Ebola is up to 1½ million cases in Africa, but very few white people are getting sick so it’s not worth reporting on the network news shows in North America.

End of week allocations:

Net 90% net equities, 25% cash USD
% gain
size
Max loss
Sym Buy Fri Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Beg End
YHOO JL22 +3.7 19 +3.6 18 +3.7 18 +3.6 18 +3.4 18 +3.0 18 +2.0 +2.2
TNA ¹ SE11 -0.3 10 -0.5 10 -0.5 10 -0.5 10 -0.5 0 -0.5 -0.5
SRTY ¹ SE12 -0.1 11 +0.2 11 +0.2 11 +0.2 11 +0.2 0 -0.4 -0.4
SRTY ² SE16 -0.0 11 -0.2 11 -0.2 11 -0.2 11 -0.3 -0.3
URTY SE17 -0.1 14 +0.1 14 -0.3 14 -0.5 -0.7
TNA ² SE18 -0.0 11 -0.7 21 -0.5 -1.0
SRTY ³ SE19 -0.1 11 -0.6 -0.6
IWM   +0.2   -0.9   -0.6   -0.4   +0.2   -1.0
me -6.2 -6.2 -6.1 -6.5 -6.4 -8.1
floor -8.3 -7.7 -7.6 -8.5 -9.0 -10.0

YHOO: Doing reasonably well.  Might sell next week if this downtrend continues.  Perhaps Alibaba’s IPO was the “top tick” before the crash?

URTY: Robot tried another “FOMC play”.  Once again, the market was not happy with the FOMC results.

TNA ²: Ouch!  Robot bought a second tranche just before the market tanked.  This does not look good.  I expect a loss next week.

Stock-trading robot

Ticker
Symbol
Buy dateBuy priceSell dateSell priceAcct Profit
ModelActualMAModelActual M A M A
YHOO JL 22 09:30 $33.48 $33.56 (Not yet)
UWM SE 11 09:30 (Skipped) $83.97 SE 16 09:30 $81.94 -0.35% +0.00%
TNA ¹ SE 11 15:00 $76.66 SE 15 10:00 09:39 $73.02 $73.00 -0.52%
SRTY ¹ SE 15 11:00 SE 12 14:00 $38.46 $37.57 SE 15 15:00 $38.60 +0.03% +0.25%
SRTY ² SE 16 15:00 $38.35 SE 17 10:00 $37.65 $37.67 -0.20% -0.22%
URTY SE 17 13:00 $84.11 $84.08 (Not yet)
TNA ² SE 18 11:00 $74.00 $74.04 (Not yet)
SE 19 11:00 $73.61 $73.65
SRTY ³ SE 19 14:00 $38.86 (Not yet)

UWM: Would have been a loser.  Good thing I skipped it.

SRTY: Okay, so the wrongly-timed SRTY ¹ was a winner, while the correctly-timed SRTY ² was a loser.  Of course!

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