Sunday, 23 November 2014

Week of 2014 NO 21

IWM fell by 0.2% this week, while my account fell 0.5%.  The loss-floor has risen to -7.3%.

Seasonality: Next week is US Thanksgiving, which tends to be bullish.  But the last three weeks of no-change suggest a reversal and a “down” market next week.  But who knows?  The central banksters might decide to run their printing presses overtime.

End of week allocations:

45% equities, 74% cash USD
% gain
size
Max loss
Sym Buy Fri Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Beg End
URTY OC28 +1.3 15 +0.9 15 +1.2 15 +0.7 16 +1.2 15 +1.3 15 -0.6 -0.7
UWM ¹ NO14 -0.1 14 -0.3 14 -0.1 14 -0.4 13 -0.5 13 -0.5 13 -1.0 -1.0
IWM   +1.4   +0.7   +1.1   +1.0   +0.0   +1.1
me -4.9 -5.5 -5.1 -5.8 -5.5 -5.4
floor -7.8 -7.7 -7.7 -7.7 -7.3 -7.3

Stock-trading robot

Ticker
Symbol
Buy dateBuy priceSell dateSell priceAcct Profit
ModelActualMAModelActual M A M A
FRED OC 20 (Skipped) $14.31 (Not yet)
URTY OC 28 13:00 12:00 $79.36 $79.03 (Not yet)
UWM ¹ NO 14 09:38 $86.01 NO 20 09:30 $82.97 $82.87 -0.51%
UWM ² NO 21 (Skipped) $85.85 (Not yet)

FRED: Would be +0.5 by now if I had bought it.

URTY: TRIX(s) went negative on Thursday at 3pm, but then TRIX(q) went positive on Friday at 10am, so no sale.  This trade is now a short-term hold until TRIX(q) goes negative again, which could happen on Monday.  Conditions still look favorable for getting out of this with a small profit.

UWM ¹: Did not go up after four days, so I got a “Sell” signal Wednesday night and sold at Thursday’s open — near the low of the week!

UWM ²: Indicators were still on a “Buy” signal Thursday night but I decided not to put in the order — which would have been filled Friday afternoon.  I suppose I could buy it next week, but the market looks very toppy so I don’t feel like it.

YHOO: “Buy” signals for Monday and Tuesday, but limit prices not reached.

ATML: “Buy” signal for Friday, but I didn’t put in the order and it wouldn’t have filled.  Another “buy” signal for next Monday.  I guess I’ll try for that one.

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