Week of 2014 JA 03

IWM fell by 0.4% this week, while my account fell 0.9%.  The loss-floor has fallen to -7.1%.

New year: The market was closed on Wednesday for New Year’s Day.  I have rebased the chart and table so that “0%” now represents IWM’s price and my account balance as of 2013 DE 27 and “1%” is now ⅟₁₀₀ of that revised account balance.  Last year my profits were minimal and I withdrew 10% of the money, so all the numbers are now about 10% bigger than they used to be.

Window dressing: The markets rose Tuesday, so that mutual fund managers could report a nice year-end number.  Then they fell on Thursday because there was no further need to pretend.

End of week allocations: 81% long equities, 37% cash

% gain size │ Max loss Sym  Buy │  Fri  Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri │ Beg   End   FRED OC24 │ +1.2 11 +1.2 11 +1.1 11 +0.8 11 +0.8 11 │ +0.1 +0.1 FNSR DE05 │ +1.2 10 +1.2 10 +1.3 10 +1.1 10 +1.3 10 │ -0.6 -0.5 URTY DE13 │ +1.8 13 +1.8 13 +1.9 13 +1.5 13 +1.6 13 │ +0.4 +0.4 TNA DE16 │ +2.1 24 +2.1 24 +2.3 24 +1.9 24 +1.9 24 │ +1.2 +1.9 ATML DE18 │ +0.6 11 +0.6 11 +0.7 11 +0.8 11 +0.8 11 │ -0.7 -0.5 AGQ DE30 │ -0.3 10 -0.3 10 -0.3 11 -0.3 0 │ -0.3 -0.3 UWM JA02 │ -0.2 10 -0.1 10 │ -0.6 -0.6 YHOO JA02 │ -0.2 8 -0.1 8 │ -0.7 -0.7 IWM │   +0.0   -0.2   +0.3   -0.7   -0.4 │ me │ +0.0 -0.3 +0.0 -1.6 -0.9 │ floor │ -6.5 -6.0 -5.8 -7.1 -7.1 │

Stock-trading robot

Ticker Symbol		Buy date			Buy price			Sell date			Sell price			Acct Profit
		Model	Actual		M	A		Model	Actual		M	A		M	A
FRED		OC 18	OC 24 09:30		$16.11	$16.59		(Not yet)
FNSR		DE 05	DE 05 09:40		$20.54			(Not yet)
URTY		DE 13 11:00			$75.60	$75.66		(Not yet)
TNA		DE 16 14:00	DE 16 15:00		$68.86	$69.19		JA 02 10:00	JA 02 09:31		$76.14	$76.12		+1.85%	+1.88%
		DE 19 11:00			$70.78	$70.85
ATML		DE 18	DE 18 09:30		$7.32			(Not yet)
AGQ		DE 30	DE 30 09:30		$16.12	$16.13		DE 30	DE 30 15:45		$15.80			-0.23%	-0.25%
UWM		JA 02	JA 02 09:30		$84.72			(Not yet)
YHOO		JA 02	JA 02 09:30		$40.37	$40.33		(Not yet)

TNA: Great!  Sold this big “long” bet just as the market started heading south — and it hasn’t come back yet, so I’m stil ahead.

UWM: Unfortunately, the robot bought this at roughly the same time that it sold TNA, replacing ”60% long” with ”20% long” so I lost some money.  Tried to buy it on Tuesday, but thankfully didn’t hit my limit-price.  Buy attempt was successful Thursday, but this could be a “wave 1 down” that I should not have bought.  We’ll see.

AGQ: Nicked my stop-price, then went back up.  Tried to rebuy on Friday, but limit-price not reached.  The robot will try again on Monday.

YHOO: Finally succeeded in buying this thing!  Hopefully it’s not too late.  TRIX(s) has now turned negative, so this will be a short-term trade unless things take off soon.