Friday, 3 January 2014

Week of 2014 JA 03

IWM fell by 0.4% this week, while my account fell 0.9%.  The loss-floor has fallen to -7.1%.

New year: The market was closed on Wednesday for New Year’s Day.  I have rebased the chart and table so that “0%” now represents IWM’s price and my account balance as of 2013 DE 27 and “1%” is now ⅟₁₀₀ of that revised account balance.  Last year my profits were minimal and I withdrew 10% of the money, so all the numbers are now about 10% bigger than they used to be.

Window dressing: The markets rose Tuesday, so that mutual fund managers could report a nice year-end number.  Then they fell on Thursday because there was no further need to pretend.

End of week allocations:

81% long equities, 37% cash
% gain
size
Max loss
Sym  Buy  Fri  Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri Beg   End
 
FRED OC24 +1.2 11 +1.2 11 +1.1 11 +0.8 11 +0.8 11 +0.1 +0.1
FNSR DE05 +1.2 10 +1.2 10 +1.3 10 +1.1 10 +1.3 10 -0.6 -0.5
URTY DE13 +1.8 13 +1.8 13 +1.9 13 +1.5 13 +1.6 13 +0.4 +0.4
TNA DE16 +2.1 24 +2.1 24 +2.3 24 +1.9 24 +1.9 24 +1.2 +1.9
ATML DE18 +0.6 11 +0.6 11 +0.7 11 +0.8 11 +0.8 11 -0.7 -0.5
AGQ DE30 -0.3 10 -0.3 10 -0.3 11 -0.3 0 -0.3 -0.3
UWM JA02 -0.2 10 -0.1 10 -0.6 -0.6
YHOO JA02 -0.2 8 -0.1 8 -0.7 -0.7
IWM   +0.0   -0.2   +0.3   -0.7   -0.4
me +0.0 -0.3 +0.0 -1.6 -0.9
floor -6.5 -6.0 -5.8 -7.1 -7.1

Stock-trading robot

Ticker
Symbol
Buy dateBuy priceSell dateSell priceAcct Profit
ModelActualMAModelActual M  A  M  A 
FRED OC 18 OC 24 09:30 $16.11 $16.59 (Not yet)
FNSR DE 05 DE 05 09:40 $20.54 (Not yet)
URTY DE 13 11:00 $75.60 $75.66 (Not yet)
TNA DE 16 14:00 DE 16 15:00 $68.86 $69.19 JA 02 10:00 JA 02 09:31 $76.14 $76.12 +1.85% +1.88%
DE 19 11:00 $70.78 $70.85
ATML DE 18 DE 18 09:30 $7.32 (Not yet)
AGQ DE 30 DE 30 09:30 $16.12 $16.13 DE 30 DE 30 15:45 $15.80 -0.23% -0.25%
UWM JA 02 JA 02 09:30 $84.72 (Not yet)
YHOO JA 02 JA 02 09:30 $40.37 $40.33 (Not yet)

TNA: Great!  Sold this big “long” bet just as the market started heading south — and it hasn’t come back yet, so I’m stil ahead.

UWM: Unfortunately, the robot bought this at roughly the same time that it sold TNA, replacing ”60% long” with ”20% long” so I lost some money.  Tried to buy it on Tuesday, but thankfully didn’t hit my limit-price.  Buy attempt was successful Thursday, but this could be a “wave 1 down” that I should not have bought.  We’ll see.

AGQ: Nicked my stop-price, then went back up.  Tried to rebuy on Friday, but limit-price not reached.  The robot will try again on Monday.

YHOO: Finally succeeded in buying this thing!  Hopefully it’s not too late.  TRIX(s) has now turned negative, so this will be a short-term trade unless things take off soon.

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